Sunday, January 29, 2023

How Carson Wentz and Jared Goff trades confirm the NFL has a new QB philosophy

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Carson Wentz was taken right after Jared Goff as quarterbacks had a brace in the 2016 NFL Draft. They both landed big contracts with the teams that selected them, the Eagles and Rams.

Although both QBs at one point helped their former teams reach the Super Bowls, they will start for two different teams in 2021. Wentz was traded to the Colts on Thursday, after Goff was dealt to the Lions two weeks ago. .

Goff and Wentz, who lasted as long as the starters of their original teams, tied the tenures of Jameis Winston and Marcus Mariota, who went 1-2 to the Buccaneers and Titans in the 2015 draft. At least, Goff and Wentz were granted extensions before their five-year rookie contracts expired.

With Matthew Stafford going to the Rams for Goff, any QB first-round draft picks since 2009 no longer play for the team that selected them.

AFTER: Carson Wentz trade ranking for Colts, Eagles

Looking at the list of those 22 quarterbacks, they have included several total busts. It’s just as interesting then to watch the first rounds of the last four projects of 2017-2020:

  • As of 17, Patrick Mahomes isn’t going anywhere, but the Bears appear to be done with Mitchell Trubisky and the Texans have Deshaun Watson on the trading block.
  • As of 2018, Baker Mayfield, Josh Allen and Lamar Jackson are safe on their squads, but Josh Rosen didn’t last long with the Cardinals and Sam Darnold is likely at the end of the track with the Jets.
  • Starting at 19, Kyler Murray is the real deal for the Cardinals, but Daniel Jones is at an early crossroads with the Giants while Dwayne Haskins has already been sacked in Washington.
  • Since last year, Joe Burrow, Justin Herbert, and Tua Tagovailoa all have big promises, but there are no guarantees and Jordan Love is a big packers mystery behind them all.

Speaking of which, in 2021 there is the strong potential of five QBs in the first round: Trevor Lawrence, Zach Wilson, Justin Fields, Trey Lance and Mac Jones.

So what do we think of this trend and what are the NFL teams taking away from it? Unless a team has a truly elite option that puts them in a prime position to compete for the Super Bowl, they will continue to look to move from the highest cap to the most important position in the game. aside, even if a team ends up extending a first-round quarterback, they’ll do whatever they can to get past that QB if they don’t meet the lucrative expectations.

Throw Watson as an anomaly based on the dysfunction in houston, because it is an illusion to want to move a QB in the top five after having paid well in relation to the market. The reasonable rest of the league wouldn’t mind being worried about QB if needed now, if there are reasonable ways to acquire an upgrade with an advantage.

AFTER: SN’s latest simulation project | Large board of the 50 best prospects

Finally, teams don’t think riding a veteran average QB or staying too long with an underperforming draft pick is smart strategy. And we can thank the two teams that just played Super Bowl 55 – the Chiefs and the Buccaneers.

Kansas City was a solid team in the playoffs with Alex Smith, but Andy Reid got a ring due to his work raising the bar a few notches at Mahomes. Tampa Bay had signs of a breakout attack backed up by an underrated defense with Winston, but it took a big QB push for Tom Brady to get past being a dormant playoff contender and straight into a defending champion. .

The Rams lost faith that Goff was a Super Bowl-caliber QB, but saw Matthew Stafford as an upgrade in a much better team environment. The Eagles were teased by the immense passing and running skills of Jalen Hurts to become the next dazzling double-threat QB in the league to move in that direction, for now, instead of Wentz.

From the Lions’ perspective, Goff isn’t considered a Stafford dropout and is talented enough to be backed near the ceiling. For the Colts, they believe the Year 2 MVP-level Wentz can return in a reunion with Frank Reich instead of going for a free agent stopgap like Ryan Fitzpatrick or Tyrod Taylor to replace Philip Rivers and Jacoby Brissett as Andrew Luck’s last deck.

The Lions got a bonus from a coin toss that may soon strengthen Goff. The Colts didn’t have to give up too much draft compensation to make sure they’re properly built around Wentz. As with any pair of NFL trades, all four teams involved see it as a win-win-win-win situation at QB.

AFTER: Ranking the 50 best free agents in the NFL in 2021

That’s why almost every team that doesn’t have Mahomes, Brady, Russell Wilson or Aaron Rodgers – or a dynamic, mobile young QB from one of the three most recent projects – wants to do whatever it takes. to acquire Watson. If not, those teams are somehow desperate for the Cowboys to bump into Dak Prescott, the QB taken much later than Goff and Wentz in 16.

As Plan B, reclamation projects can work at a high level as well, and you can bet the Rams, Lions, and Colts are all hoping to live out what the Titans did with Ryan Tannehill.

That’s why the Jets can’t be content with Darnold. That’s why the Panthers can’t rest on Teddy Bridgewater. That’s why the Falcons may consider replacing Matt Ryan, just four years away from his MVP status. That’s why the Steelers can give Ben Roethlisberger an unofficial ultimatum after a shaky season that saw his arm wane, which is no longer worth his current price, even as a future Hall of Famer.

Lawrence already looks like this potential elite QB for the Jaguars with his arm and athleticism, but now Wilson is spoken of in the same light. Anyone who considers Fields or Lance needs to think about their caps more than anything else. Some might say Jones’s best asset is his high floor, but that doesn’t mean he just shed light on the SEC like Burrow leading a varsity team to a national championship.

Since the current, more reasonable rookie pay structure was put in place in 2011, there is more flexibility to cut the bait at a first-round QB who doesn’t cut him off from expectations. The faster teams recognize that someone is or isn’t the QB answer, the better. This was fully embraced in the ’16 draft picks.

In trading Goff and Wentz, the Rams and Eagles admitted their mistakes by reading situations wrong at the start. At the same time, despite the disappointments, they had willing negotiating partners who felt they could make the most of the important physical skills of their new passers-by.

It wasn’t that long ago in the NFL, it was more “case closed” once there was above-par play or flashes of first-round QB-size. Now the Copiers League is in the best “always close” quarterback philosophy. In a league full of greatness and offensive explosion, each team wisely seeks to get a little closer to the top of the standings.



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