Thursday, November 30, 2023

Is Fernando Tatis Jr. Worth $ 340 Million? For Padres, it’s an easy answer

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The San Diego Padres and shortstop Fernando Tatis Jr. reportedly agreed to a 14-year, $ 340 million contract extension on Wednesday – a move that raises a big question that will be asked until 2034: It’s worth it- it bother?

The short-term answer is almost always yes. The long-term answer depends on how the franchise builds itself around the superstar player for the next decade to compete for the World Series championships.

FAGAN: Baseball has never seen anything like the Tatis contract extension

San Diego has locked up one of the most exciting players in the game – Tatis is .301 with 39 homers and 98 RBIs in 149 major league games – through 2034. Tatis Jr. is expected to rack up stats, All- picks. Star and stay on the lookout for the NL MVP award – he finished fourth in voting in 2020 – on an annual basis.

Will the Padres participate in the championships? It truly is the first time that San Diego fans have been able to say “Yes”.

It’s a big change in philosophy. Since 2010, the Padres have the second lowest winning percentage in baseball at 0.461. The only worse team is the Marlins (.440). The Los Angeles Dodgers rivals, of course, are the first at 0.571.

For the Tatis contract to be really worth it, however, the Padres will need to win a World Series. It won’t be easy with the Dodgers on their way.

Tatis extension is the third largest in MLB history. Los Angeles signed Mookie Bet on the biggest extension with a $ 365 million contract over 12 years after winning the World Series in 2020. Clayton Kershaw and Derek Jeter are the only players in this top 10 to have won a World Series after signature of the extension.

At a minimum, San Diego has said it is serious about building on an exciting 2020 season in which the franchise won its first playoff series since 1997, highlighted by Tatis’ bat flip in Game 2 of the NL Wild Card series against Saint-Louis. The Padres were eliminated by the Dodgers in the NLDS, however, and Los Angeles added 2020 NL Cy Young winner Trevor Bauer this offseason with a three-year, $ 102 million contract.

With the deal, the Padres – who have already signed pitchers Yu Darvish and Blake Snell for monster deals this offseason – have shown they are at least ready to compete with their rivals. Here’s a look at which players from both lists will earn more than $ 10 million in adjusted wages in 2021, according to

Dodgers vs Padres: 10 million players in 2021

DODGERS ADJ SALARY (in millions) PARENTS ADJ SALARY (in millions)
Trevor Bauer $ 31.3 Manny Machado $ 32
Clayton kershaw $ 31 Wil myers 23 $
Mookie betts $ 22.5 Eric Hosmer $ 21
Kenley jansen $ 20 Yu darvish $ 19
AJ Pollock $ 18 Blake snell $ 11.1
Cody bellinger $ 16.1 Fernando Tatis To be determined
David Price 16 $
Corey seager $ 13.75

The Padres always have one of the the best farming systems in the league, too, the message of the long-term deal with Tatis from San Diego owner Peter Seidler and general manager AJ Preller, is that the franchise is finally ready to be a contender every year.

The calculations on this story are even more astounding. The Padres have just 15 seasons with a winning record. Last year’s team had the highest single-season winning percentage in franchise history at 0.617 – albeit in a 60-game season. This shattered a streak of nine consecutive losing seasons and sent the team to the playoffs for the first time since 2006.

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San Diego’s longest winning streak is four, which ran from 2004 to 2007 and resulted in back-to-back NLDS losses to the Cardinals in 2005 and 2006. The Padres made appearances at Worlds Series in 1984 and 1998, but those years questioned franchise icon Tony Gwynn thereafter. Gwynn is one of the best players of all time not to win a World Series.

Tatis had the opportunity to be the next icon in the franchise, and he could take it to the next level. San Diego did what Cleveland didn’t with Francisco Lindor: make a long-term commitment to the franchise player. Lindor led Cleveland to the playoffs – including a World Series appearance in 2016 – after turning 21.

The Padres will get these years from Tatis and many more. A short-term rivalry with the Dodgers for control of NL West is on the way, and that should lead to more captivating times at Petco Park for the foreseeable future. San Diego’s willingness to spend is also refreshing. There’s always a chance that could backfire, especially with the lucrative offers given to other pieces around Tatis.

Still, you can’t tell the Padres aren’t trying – and fans of the franchise know they’ll be on the hunt for the Tatis for years to come. San Diego has given that fan base hope for a World Series championship, and the ride will last until 2034 with one of the best players in the game.

Is it worth it?

The answer is always yes. “


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